UK Housebuilding in 2015; and a look to the future ‘The Fantastic Four’

Hardman & Co ReportThe Fantastic Four is Marvel’s original and longest running superhero team who,through a cosmic incident, develop super powers; and then use them for good.

Reed Richards (Q1) is able to stretch like rubber, while Johnny Storm (Q2) can produce fire at supernova temperatures and is able to fly. Meantime, Sue Storm (Q3 and sister of Johnny) can turn invisible and create force fields, especially when
angered; and, finally, Ben Grimm (Q4 or ‘The Thing’) becomes a large, rock-like creature with immense strength.

In 2015, the UK Housebuilding Sector embraced the legend and its own extraordinary powers – and was able to fight off the common arch enemy Dr Doom (see later).

The Fantastic Four are the eponymous stars of three movies which, to date, have grossed some $US 800 million which is more than two-and-a-quarter times production cost; and there could well be a fourth.

UK Housebuilders created £9.3 billion of value last year or a 40% hike. The Sector also broke new ground on 35 occasions and this included 30 December. As The Thing often says: “it’s clobberin’ time”.

2015
On 30 December 2015, the Sector reached a new all-time box office high of £32.8 billion. The next day, however, the superhero relaxed its grip (by 0.5%) – but the gain for the year was still two-fifths.

Similarly, from trough (7 July 2008) to peak (30 December 2015), the Sector has increased in value by 1000% or in cash terms £30 billion.

Silver surfer, McCarthy & Stone also returned to listed status on 5 November and promptly rode a 41% crest of value to £1.4 billion; and adding it in takes the Sector to just north of £34 billion.

In calendar 2015, there was a total of 253 trading days and on 54% the Sector rose versus 46% when it fell. In turn, the best daily score (+6.4%) on 8 May, the day after the General Election and the worst on Budget day 8 July (minus 5.5%) – erroneously
as it turned out.

In terms of weeks, Week 31 (+6.6%) was the best, with Week 2 worst (minus 6.0%). Meantime, on month by month, May led by example (+15.5%) and there were only four (marginal) monthly negatives in January, September, October and November in
a band from -0.6 to -2.7%.

The path of a superhero is not smooth; but what trading opportunities are there here? Download the report to find out

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