The Falanx Assynt March Digest

The Assynt Report is a fortnightly subscription service covering 34 key emerging markets on 4 continents. Our forward-looking reports, carefully collated by Falanx Assynt’s expert analysts, enable you to maximise the opportunities for your business, and protect your staff, assets, and reputation. You choose the information you want to receive, focusing on the countries that matter to your business – whether that’s 1 country, all 34, or anything in between. In addition to receiving regular predictions and analysis in your inbox, an Assynt Report subscription includes access to our expert analysts to give clarity and detail when you need it most.

Every few weeks, we collate highlights from recent Assynt Reports, to keep you informed and help you stay prepared, be proactive, and make the best decisions for your business.

 

March highlights

South Asia

India

  • Second Islamic State-claimed (IS) attack in Kashmir does not point to increased capabilities or rising risk of larger jihadist operations
  • Tripura poll win reaffirms ruling party’s dominance and shows opposition is likely to remain weak and divided at national level

Pakistan

  • Ruling party’s win in Senate elections will help ensure continuity of pro-business agenda

Afghanistan

  • President’s increasing efforts to engage with Taliban will not raise prospect of negotiations ahead of elections, or reduce violence

Sri Lanka

  • State of emergency will contain wider communal unrest, but anger among Buddhist nationalists could prompt fresh opposition protests

Bangladesh

  • Stabbing of secular activist suggests low-level attacks likely to rise as jihadist sympathisers seek to exploit political unrest

 

ARABIAN PENINSULA

Regional

  • Islamic State in Greater Sahara (ISGS) will lack capabilities to strike Western interests despite slight increase in activity in northern Mali

Bahrain

  • Arrest of militant network and seizure of weapons does not indicate growing militant threat

Kuwait

  • Government suppression of protest supporting anti-Iranian Shia cleric will prevent any damage to relationship with Tehran

Qatar

  • Agreement on financial cooperation underlines continued relevance of Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), but does not signal breakthrough

Saudi Arabia

  • Crown Prince’s first visit to West since promotion will help boost foreign investment and limit criticism of foreign policy

Yemen

  • Economic protests in Sanaa will increase in frequency and scale in coming year, but will not threaten Houthi control
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