- Relaxation of lockdown will lead to significant rise in COVID-19 infections and will increase tensions between federal and provincial governments
- Government will be reluctant to extend or reintroduce current restrictions, though localised lockdowns could be brought back in high-risk areas
- Anti-government sentiment over lockdown measures, rising unemployment and falling incomes will grow in coming months, increasing risk of protests
Lockdown measures introduced to control the spread of the coronavirus (COVID-19) were relaxed from 9 May, allowing many offices, factories and construction sites to resume operations while following social distancing guidelines, and allowing some shops and markets to reopen for five days a week. However, most flights and public transport are still suspended, and schools and large shopping centres remain closed until at least 31 May. Meanwhile, the government confirmed on 4 May that it has applied to defer USD 1.8 billion in debt repayments to G20 countries as a result of the severe economic impact of COVID-19.
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