Interesting times ahead

It has been one of those weeks, where so much news comes across our desks that I do not quite know where to start and where to finish, but we can be sure not to get bored in the near term.

After all the Brexit drama of the past weeks, there is some evidence emerging that our rationally argued view that contrary to all the recent talk, next year’s formal Brexit, will be just that.

As leaked discussions between UK and German trade representatives this week showed, it is entirely feasible that the two parties will decide to merely aim for an agreement in principle and then kick the details into the long grass of the transition period (which could be extended). This would stabilise economic conditions, as well as preventing an entirely unpalatable and time pressured vote of parliament between two bad choices. Political instability for the UK should thereby be prevented and the Tory party may refrain from entering self-destruct mode, both of which would otherwise steer the country towards new elections which is the last thing the negotiation parties see.

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