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The Falanx Assynt January Digest

The Assynt Report is a fortnightly subscription service covering 34 key emerging markets on 4 continents. Our forward-looking reports, carefully collated by Falanx Assynt’s expert analysts, enable you to maximise the opportunities for your business, and protect your staff, assets, and reputation. You choose the information you want to receive, focusing on the countries that matter to your business – whether that’s 1 country, all 34, or anything in between. In addition to receiving regular predictions and analysis in your inbox, an Assynt Report subscription includes access to our expert analysts to give clarity and detail when you need it most.

Every few weeks, we collate highlights from recent Assynt Reports, to keep you informed and help you stay prepared, be proactive, and make the best decisions for your business.

January’s highlights

Latin America Update

Conviction of former President Lula upheld, but uncertainty over his candidacy likely to remain for several more weeks at least.
Rising frustration among Lula’s supporters will gradually increase potential for protests and unrest.

Presidential candidates’ proposals to tackle crime suggest AMLO’s emotive policy approach could boost his election prospects.
Reshuffle of security-focused Cabinet positions unlikely to cut crime and may lead to agencies attempting to undermine opposition.

Levant Region Update

President Abbas will continue heightened criticism of US policies but will avoid steps that would trigger increased unrest

Resumption of diplomatic relations with Israel indicates strong economic and security ties, but rhetoric may rise over future talks
Tax increases show Government will seek to improve fiscal position in 2018, but these could trigger some limited protests

Further Israeli assassination attempts against Hamas operatives likely in coming year, but calibrated approach will prevent escalation

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Disclaimer: Statements in this article should not be considered investment advice, which is best sought directly from a qualified professional.